Guillen could be Marlins' fall guy

Manager not to blame for flop but he and longtime player personnel chief could go to pacify fans

Ozzie Guillen is getting what he asked for when he left one of the most loyal owners in sports to work for one of the quirkiest. His job is in jeopardy only one season into a four-year deal, and few will be sad if he is swept out alongside longtime player personnel guy Larry Beinfest as the Marlins limp away from a horrific first season in their new art deco home.

But Guillen wasn't what went bad in Miami. The fatal flaw was in overrating the talent of guys like Hanley Ramirez, Logan Morrison, Josh Johnson and Heath Bell, and maybe also in owner Jeffrey Loria falling so hard for Guillen that fans expected him to make this team better.

It rarely works that way in baseball. Buck Showalter is having a huge impact with the Orioles, but it took him three seasons to do it. As for surprise teams like the Athletics and White Sox, Bob Melvin and Robin Ventura would tell you it's their players who are making the difference, not their handling of players.

Guillen isn't why the Marlins entered the penultimate weekend of the season on track for a 71-91 record. According to the Pythagorean standings, his managing actually had picked up one victory for his team — the seventh time in his nine seasons as a manager that he has had no effect or a positive effect on the Pythagorean standings (plus-20 career).

Guillen was worried about his team on opening day, and rightly so. His lineup was built around the power of guys like Giancarlo Stanton, Morrison and Ramirez, and injuries to Morrison and Stanton contributed to it being the least dangerous in the majors during the first month.

The trend carried over during the season, with Stanton being very streaky and Morrison playing only 93 games (.230, 11 homers) because of a knee that should have been repaired last winter. The Marlins rank last in the National League in runs and 10th in home runs. They have hit only 50 homers in 75 games at Marlins Park, creating questions about the park's dimensions as the naming-rights value has dropped.

And you can't blame Guillen for the biggest mistake Loria made — trying to force instant success in 2012 because it marked the opening of his publicly funded stadium in Little Havana.

Guillen jumped at Loria's offer of a four-year, $10 million contract, leaving the White Sox even before the 2011 season had ended (another mistake for him and Loria). MLB.com reports Loria and team President David Samson are weighing a managerial change, with the highly respected Mike Lowell a candidate to take over.

But most of the heat seems to be directed toward Beinfest, who has been with Loria since joining him with the Expos in Montreal in 1999. He was the architect of the Marlins team that shocked the Yankees in the 2003 World Series after recovering from a 3-1 deficit to beat the Cubs in the NLCS. But this will be the Marlins' fifth losing season in the last seven, and unlike the others, it can't be written off to an untenable ballpark and a low payroll.

Streaking: The Braves have won 21 consecutive starts by Kris Medlen, who didn't make his first start this season until July 31. His streak carries back to 2010, before he had elbow surgery, and is the longest such streak in the big leagues since the Yankees won 22 in a row behind Whitey Ford.

"It's awesome," Medlen said. "My wife has told me and a couple of people have said some of the names I'm being mentioned with. Whitey Ford? Come on. Don't even say it. … Anytime you can get mentioned in the same sentence as guys like that, it's really cool. I just try not to get too far ahead of myself, just focus on the goal at hand, which is trying to make the playoffs."

The Braves entered the weekend on pace to win 93 games but almost certainly will find themselves in a win-or-go-home wild-card playoff with the Cardinals, Brewers or Dodgers. Medlen, 26, seems likely to get that assignment, not 15-game winner Tim Hudson. That says a lot.

Putting on the cape: The hopes of Yankees fans perked up Wednesday when Andy Pettitte threw five scoreless innings in his first start since breaking his left ankle June 27.

It will be interesting to see where manager Joe Girardi slots him into the playoff rotation if the Yankees win the East or the wild card. He's 19-10 with a 3.83 ERA in 42 career postseason starts.

"Let's be honest: In baseball terms, Andy is not a normal human,'' Nick Swisher told the New York Post. "Andy brings that hero element to us. He's one of those main guys who have made the Yankees who they are. In a sense, it's almost like a superhero popping (onto the field).''

Rare treasure: Gary Nickels, a Naperville-based scout for the Dodgers, was watching PBS' "Antiques Roadshow'' once when the item being discussed was a baseball signed by players from the 1961 Yankees.

"The host was saying that balls with a lot of signatures don't have that much value, not as much as ones just signed by the top players,'' Nickels said. "But he said this one was different because of one name — Bob Hale. There weren't very many signed by him.''

Hale, a longtime Park Ridge resident who died this month at 78, was one of 36 players who played for the Yankees in the year Roger Maris and Mickey Mantle chased Babe Ruth's single-season homer record. He got into 11 games as a backup to first baseman Moose Skowron.

Hale was 27 at the end of that season but retired to pursue his doctorate in education. He spent most of his life as an elementary school principal and part-time scout.

"He was a great guy to scout against,'' Nickels said. "You always learned something scouting against Bob. … We're already missing him.''

The last word: "I don't really care about holding the home run lead. He is a good dude, and he has played consistently well for a long time. It would be cool if there was another winner. There's nobody I'd rather see win it than him." — The Rangers' Josh Hamilton on Miguel Cabrera's attempt to become baseball's first Triple Crown winner since Carl Yastrzemski in 1967.

progers@tribune.com

Twitter @ChiTribRogers

sc-spt-0923-notes-rogers-baseball--20120923
NASA Photos Show Pavlof Volcano Eruption from Space » NASA Photos Show Pavlof Volcano Eruption from... Photo Gallery: Aerial Views of Yukon River Ice Jam » Photo Gallery: Aerial Views of Yukon River... 2013 Gold Nugget Triathlon » 2013 Gold Nugget Triathlon Photos: Pavlof Volcano Erupting » Photos: Pavlof Volcano Erupting Spenard Farmer's Market Kicks Off 4th Season » Spenard Farmer's Market Kicks Off 4th Season Trekkies at the museum » Trekkies at the museum Bike to Work Day 2013 » Bike to Work Day 2013 Photo Gallery: Pamyua Plays for ANHC Crowd on Mother's Day » Photo Gallery: Pamyua Plays for ANHC Crowd on... Photo Gallery: Faster Than a Falcon 5k Run » Photo Gallery: Faster Than a Falcon 5k Run Photos: 'Back to the Future' DeLorean Replica » Photos: 'Back to the Future' DeLorean Replica Photo Gallery:  Back to the Future DeLorean Visits Alaska » Photo Gallery: Back to the Future DeLorean... Photo Gallery: APD Medals of Valor and Shield Awards » Photo Gallery: APD Medals of Valor and Shield... 13th Annual Bike for Women » 13th Annual Bike for Women Great Alaska Aviation Gathering Celebrates 16 Years » Great Alaska Aviation Gathering Celebrates 16... Photo Gallery: Commissioning of the USS Anchorage » Photo Gallery: Commissioning of the USS... Photo Gallery: 22nd Annual Salmon Run 2K, 5K and 10K » Photo Gallery: 22nd Annual Salmon Run 2K,... Photo Gallery: Walk and Roll for Hope 2013 » Photo Gallery: Walk and Roll for Hope 2013 Photos: On Board The USS Anchorage » Photos: On Board The USS Anchorage NYO 2013, Day 3 (More Photos) » NYO 2013, Day 3 (More Photos) Denali Base Camp » Denali Base Camp NYO 2013: Day 3: One-Foot High Kick, Seal Hop, Alaska Native Dance Performances, and Closing Ceremonies » NYO 2013: Day 3: One-Foot High Kick, Seal... Heart Run 2013 » Heart Run 2013 Native Youth Olympics Day 2: One Hand Reach and Two Foot Kick » Native Youth Olympics Day 2: One Hand Reach... Photo Gallery: Clark Mishler's 'Portrait Alaska' » Photo Gallery: Clark Mishler's 'Portrait... Photos: NYO 2013: Day 1 » Photos: NYO 2013: Day 1 Unalakleet Clean Water Struggle » Unalakleet Clean Water Struggle Slush Cup 2013 (part 2) » Slush Cup 2013 (part 2) Slush Cup 2013 (Part 1) » Slush Cup 2013 (Part 1) Newborn Reindeer Calves at the Palmer Reindeer Farm » Newborn Reindeer Calves at the Palmer... Piuraagiaqta 2013: Barrow's Spring Festival » Piuraagiaqta 2013: Barrow's Spring Festival Giant Pacific Octopus Eggs Hatching » Giant Pacific Octopus Eggs Hatching 2013 Arctic Man » 2013 Arctic Man 20th Alaska Custom Cycle Show » 20th Alaska Custom Cycle Show Hand Counting Write-In Votes: Ernie Hall vs. Nick Moe » Hand Counting Write-In Votes: Ernie Hall vs.... Food Truck Carnival in Spenard » Food Truck Carnival in Spenard Rage City Rollergirls » Rage City Rollergirls Photos: Deadly Shooting in Fairview, Anchorage Police Officers Involved » Photos: Deadly Shooting in Fairview,... Photos: 2013 Municipal Election » Photos: 2013 Municipal Election Photo Gallery: Helo-1 and Crash Victims » Photo Gallery: Helo-1 and Crash Victims Ida'ina Gathering 2013 at Dena'ina Center » Ida'ina Gathering 2013 at Dena'ina Center The 2013 Sportsman Show » The 2013 Sportsman Show Photo Gallery: 2013 'Choose Respect' March in Anchorage » Photo Gallery: 2013 'Choose Respect' March in... Photo Gallery: Food Bank of Alaska's Canstruction 2013 » Photo Gallery: Food Bank of Alaska's... Funeral Service for Fallen VPSO Thomas Madole Held in Anchorage » Funeral Service for Fallen VPSO Thomas Madole... Kali, Orphaned Polar Bear Cub, at Alaska Zoo » Kali, Orphaned Polar Bear Cub, at Alaska Zoo Photo Gallery: Alaska State Troopers Armored Vehicles » Photo Gallery: Alaska State Troopers... World Baseball Classic: Puerto Rico vs. Dominican Republic » World Baseball Classic: Puerto Rico vs.... Photo Gallery: Kulluk Loading Aboard Xiang Rui Kou » Photo Gallery: Kulluk Loading Aboard Xiang... Photo Gallery: Recovered Polar Bear Cub Delivered to Alaska Zoo » Photo Gallery: Recovered Polar Bear Cub... Museum in Mountain View Name Changed » Museum in Mountain View Name Changed World Baseball Classic: Semi Final Game One: Puerto Rico v Japan » World Baseball Classic: Semi Final Game One:... Matzah Bakery » Matzah Bakery 2013 Oosik Classic Ski Race/Tour » 2013 Oosik Classic Ski Race/Tour 2013 Shamrock Shuffle » 2013 Shamrock Shuffle Pink Floyd Light Show at the Anchorage Science Museum » Pink Floyd Light Show at the Anchorage... Daytona Bike Week: National Guard SuperBike Race 1 » Daytona Bike Week: National Guard SuperBike... World Baseball Classic Round 2 Miami: USA v. Puerto Rico » World Baseball Classic Round 2 Miami: USA v.... Photos: ASD Names New Superintendent as Jim Browder Retires » Photos: ASD Names New Superintendent as Jim... World Baseball Classic: Round 2 Miami, Game One: Italy v. Dominican Republic » World Baseball Classic: Round 2 Miami, Game... Photos: Empty Bowl Project at Egan Center » Photos: Empty Bowl Project at Egan Center Photo Gallery: Moose Rescue at Alexander Creek » Photo Gallery: Moose Rescue at Alexander... Jesus Christ Superstar » Jesus Christ Superstar Iditarod Day 5: Dropped Dogs in McGrath » Iditarod Day 5: Dropped Dogs in McGrath The 41st Annual Student art exhibition » The 41st Annual Student art exhibition Photo Gallery: Rotten Matanuska Creamery Cheese » Photo Gallery: Rotten Matanuska Creamery... Anchorage Police Respond to Armed Man near O'Malley Road » Anchorage Police Respond to Armed Man near O'... Iditarod Official Start (Aerial Photos) » Iditarod Official Start (Aerial Photos) Iditarod Official Start (Pre race, Mushers and Handlers) » Iditarod Official Start (Pre race, Mushers... Iditarod Official Start (Mushers 2 - 16) » Iditarod Official Start (Mushers 2 - 16) Iditarod Official Start (Mushers 17 - 67) » Iditarod Official Start (Mushers 17 - 67) Rondy Day 9: Running of the Reindeer pt 1 » Rondy Day 9: Running of the Reindeer pt 1 Rondy Day 9: Running of the Reindeer pt 2 » Rondy Day 9: Running of the Reindeer pt 2 Iditarod Ceremonial Start » Iditarod Ceremonial Start Rondy Day 8: Scale Model Club Exhibit » Rondy Day 8: Scale Model Club Exhibit Photo Gallery: Marti Reads to the Kids » Photo Gallery: Marti Reads to the Kids